Monday, December 05, 2016

The NCUA Budget: Easy Money... Part 4

Let's follow-up on yesterday's discussion of how
"the investment management expertise" (to use the phrase lightly!) of NCUA senior staff has created "the necessity" of a $300 to $600 million premium assessment on your credit union - and your members! - next year. Basically the premium is a penalty on credit unions for the lack of accountability, competence, and transparency at the NCUA - "they played, you pay!"

Here are the numbers (link - you can validate the #s here in the NCUSIF financials)  We're going to track 4 figures related to the NCUSIF investment portfolio over the last five years: 1) the portfolio yield, 2) the weighted average life (WAL) of the portfolio, 3) the % of the portfolio invested in bonds with maturities over 5 years, and 4) the "unrealized gain/loss" (UR) on the portfolio (more on that later!).
                    Yld.       WAL       %>5yrs    URgain

Dec. 2011       2.01%      3.08 yrs       11.2%       $450 mil.
Dec. 2012       1.82%      3.34 yrs        21.0%        $371 mil.
Dec. 2013       1.80%      3.76 yrs        31.8%        $ 15 mil.
Dec. 2014       1.89%      4.25 yrs        36.8%        $150 mil.
Dec. 2015       1.90%      4.89 yrs        47.9%        $ 60 mil.

Sep. 2016       1.84%       5.00 yrs       50.0%        $381 mil.

So, the key NCUSIF figures to focus on first are that the NCUA robusterian investment gnomes lengthened the average life of the portfolio from 3 years to 5 years and now have over half the portfolio with maturities of greater than 5 years (moving from just 11% to 50%!), including the $800 million in 9/10 year investments yielding around 1.70% purchased in the last 90 days!!!


Why would NCUA senior staff execute such a seemingly inane strategy, especially when the NCUA examining staff have been threatening "DORs" and LUAs" for credit unions which pursue the same strategy?!?  Will admit that perhaps we should not be too harsh on a strategy executed in 2011, 2012, 2013, or even 2014/2015, but the $1.4 billion in 9/10 year investments in 2016 - $800 million in the last 90 days!!! - is indefensible and inexcusable... and seemingly negligent.

Would hope that the NCUA Board will ask for a public - transparent! - "explanation" from Mr. Fazio and his "experts". Especially since for the NCUA Board, to again quote Chair Metsger:

"We have a fiduciary responsibility to the Share Insurance Fund, and to U.S. taxpayers and we will not abrogate that responsibility or tun it over to anyone."
- Rick Metsger

[ I'm a "U.S. taxpayer", aren't you? "ACT!"]


Dennis Moriarity said...

This is the kind of stuff you can't make up. If the Trades are looking for something to sink their teeth into this self-inflicted entry wound is just the ticket. Time for some major transparency on how these investment decisions were made and by whom. No wonder the revenue side gets a little murky at budget time if it were me (it wouldn't be) I would be hoping no one was tracking those buys. How about it Mr. Nussle and Mr. Berger ain't it time for some pointed and demanding questions aimed at the NCUA Board and Staff on how this happened especially in light of NCUA's concern on IRR by us little people. Wonder if we could track FDIC's activity during the period? This comes under the heading of being so stupid no one would ever believe it could happen. Yikes!

Anonymous said...

Moriarity, dream on.
Here's the problem.

CUNA and nafcu are a camel 5 on Blaine's ACT.
They didn't discover this problem, a retired CEO, Blaine, did.
They're praying, as with medallion loans, that it'll go away before they have to admit, they've NOT had our backs, once again.

The trade papers won't report on it, because as with CUNA and nafcu, they're corrupted.

And, the trade associations and trade papers are scooped all the time by a retired CEO and the retired CU watchdog for ABA, Leggett.

Sooooo glad we don't pay dues anymore, wish we didn't have money in NCUSIF.