Sunday, May 15, 2016

The Quack Pack...


 Crayola econometrics...
Quants have been in wide retreat on a broad front after the stark embarrassment of "missing by a mile" ("stochastically" speaking!) to forecast "The Big One" of 2008.

It's kinda hard to "explain away" an econometric failure of "Pearl Harbor" proportion and visibility, especially when the Admiral of the Fleet, Alan Greenspan, comes forth with…



  [Who is that testifying in the middle seat?]
But it's really not all that hard to explain "robusterian" economics in a concise manner; take a listen at the 30 second version from "SNL"




But now, having missed "The Big One", the econometric malingerers are hard at work making sure that they never miss again, especially when it comes to "interest rate risk"(IRR), by living up to the classic economic joke: 

"Did you know that economists have correctly predicted nine of the last five recessions?"


Not of course to mention, the continuing failure of the "au courant" econometric panacea for our national economic malaise - "quantitative easing"(QE) - which some folks believe has become downright comical...


…y'know:  HUEY, "QE", and LOUIE !!


(… and also insanely IRRational, consistently IRResponsible, and most definitely IRRksome!!)

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

No longer the three ducks, we now have Laurel and Hardy. We must give them the benefit of the doubt. We need to forget past transgressions. We must allow for recovery from the gun to the head. Yes, we cannot expect miracles from one who speaks in the languages of the tongue. But we must have hope for without it we are forever lost in the forests of North Carolina.