Sunday, May 31, 2015
NCUA's Economic Forecasting: Missing The Scale...
Kehlog Albran
"The Profit"
Labels:
Risk
Saturday, May 30, 2015
NCUA's Economic Forecasting: Missing The Scope...
...except for sun worshippers ! |
"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it is about the future."
- Nils Bohr
Nobel laureate in physics
Labels:
Risk
Friday, May 29, 2015
The "New" CUNA...
LET ME TAKE A FEW MOMENTS
TO EXPLAIN HOW
"THE NEW PLAN": SYSTEM OF CHOICE
"THE NEW PLAN": SYSTEM OF CHOICE
AT CUNA WILL WORK:
GOT THAT ???
"To be or not to be, that is the question..."
"... Aye there is the rube!"
from "Hamlet's Soliloquy"
Wm. Shakespeare
Labels:
Opinion
CUNA's "New Plan"... High and Dry?
If you haven't gotten the official word yet, CUNA
Mutual has evidently cast its official "nyet" vote on CUNA and the leagues to the tune of around $18 million in reduced annual support for "The System". That can only mean higher trade association costs for the declining number of remaining credit unions - an increasingly costly game of fiscal "musical chairs"!
Mutual has evidently cast its official "nyet" vote on CUNA and the leagues to the tune of around $18 million in reduced annual support for "The System". That can only mean higher trade association costs for the declining number of remaining credit unions - an increasingly costly game of fiscal "musical chairs"!
Apparently CUNA Mutual is not "overly impressed" with the "value proposition" offered by the current, "no choices plan" CUNA - with the promise of more cuts to come if CUNA and the Leagues "don't air their laundry" and "clean up their act".
So, add one more party to a growing list of folks who have drawn the line and are threatening to....
Labels:
Opinion
Thursday, May 28, 2015
CUNA Redux...
On
"Transformative Change":
BOLD !! |
"To aim for indispensability is an audacious ambition..."
- from the CUNA Environmental Scan
AUDACIOUS !! |
2012- 2013
"Indispensability"?? "Audacious ambition" ?? Y'know ...
Labels:
Opinion
Wednesday, May 27, 2015
CUNA's "New Plan".... A Little Bit Squirrelly?
Y'all nuts??? |
Labels:
Opinion
Begging The Question.... ??
MAYBE I MISSED IT, BUT DID CUNA'S "NEW PLAN" ANSWER ANY OF THESE QUESTIONS?
Looking Over The Horizon... |
1) What does the rapidly shrinking number of credit unions imply for the future of the credit union movement?
2) What does the increasing consolidation of leagues at the state level imply for the future of the credit union movement?
3) What does the apparent political impotence of credit unions at the federal level imply for the future of the credit union movement?
4) What does our inability to define a shared, common purpose imply for the future of the credit union movement?
Labels:
Opinion
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
About That CUNA Committee...
"It may take three years"... |
"If we don't change direction soon, we're going to end up where we're going."
- Professor Irwin Corey
Labels:
Opinion
Monday, May 25, 2015
When All Is Said And Done...
"Banks Pay $5.6 Billion To Settle U.S. Probe" [May 21, 2015]
"Five global banks agreed to pay more than $5 billion in combined penalties and plead guilty to criminal charges to resolve a long-running U.S. investigation into whether traders colluded to move foreign-currency rates for their own financial benefit."
"The settlements largely close the book on the latest industry-wide investigation, one of a steady stream of probes into mortgage misdeeds, manipulative trading behavior and tax evasion. The biggest global banks have paid more than $60 billion in penalties over the past two years to resolve allegations of wrong doing."
"The size and scope of the resolutions reflect authorities' attempts to crackdown on what they called "breathtaking" misconduct, with some of the largest fines levied to date by the Justice Department for antitrust violations."
"These unprecedented figures appropriately reflect the conspiracy's breathtaking flagrancy, its systemic reach and its significant impact," Attorney General Loretta Lynch said."
So, what did Frank Keating the President/CEO of the American Bankers' Association (ABA) have to say about his colleagues' "breathtaking flagrancy" and guilty pleas to criminal activity? 'Bout all I could find was Frank Keating saying this:
Huh?? |
Guess that makes one thing pretty obvious, when all is said and done...
Labels:
B-words
Sunday, May 24, 2015
Tweet To Twit.....
Is Halloween: Twit or Tweet? |
Q: What is the best way to improve your I.Q. ?
A: Read something which..
Labels:
Opinion
Saturday, May 23, 2015
From The Field...
"The member was so impressed with our Estate Planning program, that she called up her ex-husband and told him she hoped he would need it, too."
Labels:
FTF
Friday, May 22, 2015
In The Shadows...
FROM THE AMERICAN BANKER:
[May 7, 2015] "Fed Chief Wary..."
The article highlights Fed Chairman Janet Yellin's perspectives on the level of "risky lending" and "reach for yield" among regulated banking institutions. Ms. Yellin summarizes her analysis with this observation: "My assessment... would be that the risks to financial stability are moderated, not elevated." That certainly sounds a very positive, hopeful note for the future! [And certainly contradicts NCUA's "current economic wisdom".]
Ms. Yellin did however surface a previously undisclosed threat to America's financial stability with this reported remark: "The financial crisis clearly revealed that even outside the regulated banking sector, [even greater risks exist] in ..."
Labels:
Risk
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
NCUSIF: The Real Problem..."Victorian Era Kids" !
The National Credit Union Share Insurance Fund (NCUSIF) is a deposit insurance pool cooperatively owned by 100 CU million members, who belong to federally-insured credit unions in the U.S. of A.
The fiduciary management of the NCUSIF has been entrusted by Congress to the NCUA.
How does the NCUA view this trusted relationship between the deposit insurance fund and its 100 million, individual CU member-owners...?
Labels:
Duke Street,
Risk
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
NCUA: NCUSIF Investment Wizards...
So, literally at the same time Chair Matz was spreading the frenzied gospel of "end-of-world" interest rate risk (IRR) to the good folks of North Dakota (see here), back at home her NCUSIF investment gnomes were at play in the bowels of Duke Street, Alexandria.
And, what a robust time those little wizards were having - with your insurance fund!!
Here are the new investments in the first quarter of 2015 which Ms. Matz' capital markets robusterians made on behalf of your credit union and America's 100 million individual credit union members...
Labels:
Duke Street,
Risk
Monday, May 18, 2015
A "Shocking" Look At The NCUSIF ...
Budget-wise: It's always a "good year" at the NCUA! |
As noted, the NCUA is abusing the overhead transfer rate (OTR) to fund its "Goodyear", good-timin' operating budget. By draining the cooperative share insurance fund's (NCUSIF) earnings, NCUA eliminates any need for fiscal, budgetary responsibility and transparency in its operations. With the skimming having risen from 25% of budget to 71.8% of budget, NCUA has acquired an addiction, an unslakeable thirst for fiscal sleight-of-hand - funded by the NCUSIF.
The conflicts of interest for the NCUA, in the dual role of federal regulator and federal insurer, are numerous. The Nation's last experience with how dual regulator/insurer conflicts of interest "get played out" was when the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Fund (FSLIC) had to be bailed-out, at great cost, by the American taxpayers in the 1990's. Deja vu all over again?
But, let's take a quick look at another of NCUA's "dual roles" in managing the NCUSIF on behalf of the NCUSIF's owners - America's Credit Unions and their 100 million individual members....
Sunday, May 17, 2015
Saturday, May 16, 2015
Friday, May 15, 2015
The Low Down On Marketing....
"No Comment(s)!" |
Who could ask for more?
[Yes siree! Let's go ahead and stir that pot one more round!]
You might want to check out the recent article/post by James Robert Lay over at www.cuinsight. com. Appears that some of Mr. Lay's commenters are not taking their "anger management" medicine as prescribed! Many of those "little messageers" are, shall we say, "Shades of Gray".... fit to be tied!!!
The blogpost which really stoked their ire was
With "game on" and the vultures circling, thought it best to call for some expert, professional opinions on marketing...
Labels:
Opinion
Thursday, May 14, 2015
Robust Seasonal Economics: What? A Gas.....?
Global warming: Hot "stuff"? |
"Some economists blame the warm winter weather for the sudden slowdown in spring job growth."
In other words, unemployment is caused by global warming!?
Correlated to unemployment?? |
"Spring fever!"
But... certainly glad to know that some obtuse tribe of gnomadic, robusterian economic quants have analytically debunked that "old wives tale", and replaced it with far more substantial, theoretical fluff!
But of course, these same robusterians have also published the following economic research observation:
"It wasn't me !" |
Really! Well, let's see? Just where does that leave us logically? H-m-m ...
Labels:
Risk
Wednesday, May 13, 2015
Best Teller "Line" Ever....
Im-mobile b-oinking !! |
"My bank has only two tellers, unless it's incredibly busy.
Then it has one."
- Rita Rudner
Labels:
B-words
Tuesday, May 12, 2015
NCUA: IRRationally Risky or Simply IRResponsible With Your NCUSIF Funds...?
Several folks said they would like to see the NCUSIF update presented to the NCUA Board at its last meeting. Here's the link.
As an update on NCUA's investment strategy, you may find it interesting to note page 7 of the report. NCUA now has 45% of the $11+ billion fund [your money, your insurance fund deposit by the way] invested in securities with a term > 5 years.
[Hasn't Ms. Matz and your examiner been screaming and threatening CUs to "stay short (or die!)" for the last few years????]
Here's a look at the history of the Fund:
Qtr. % > 5yrs Avg. Portfolio Term
12/31/11 11.24% 3.08 yrs.
12/31/12 21.07% 3.34 yrs.
12/31/13 31.82% 3.76 yrs.
03/31/14 33.42% 3.84 yrs.
06/30/14 36.47% 3.96 yrs.
09/30/14 39.00% 4.11 yrs.
12/31/14 41.43% 4.25 yrs.
03/31/15 44.36% 4.42 yrs.
So what's the final analysis of the NCUA capital markets specialists' robust, "we're sharper than Wall St.", and all of y'all too investment strategy?
Well, there is some good news and there is some bad news...
Labels:
Duke Street,
Risk
Sunday, May 10, 2015
Mothers' Day...
And, can be glamorous in their "spare time"! |
" Good Moms have sticky floors, dirty ovens, and happy kids."
(... and Thank You for that!)
Labels:
Pearls
Saturday, May 09, 2015
Friday, May 08, 2015
How "Stuff" Like RBC 1 & 2 Happens....
T-dee, T-dumb ! |
"Incestuous amplification" happens when a closed group of people repeat the same things to each other and when accepting the group's preconceptions, becomes a necessary ticket to being in the in-group."
- Paul Krugman
(1/29/2013)
Dubious ideas created by a closed group, behind closed doors, operating with unaccountable closed minds create
"arbecy"
[rhymes with lunacy!]
"arbecy"
[rhymes with lunacy!]
incestuously amplified...
Thursday, May 07, 2015
Leaders Of The Pac... ?
Well, looks like it's "TAX SEASON" again for
credit unions ...
For CU's: It's been all down Hill of late ! |
In the midst of multiplying economic "doomsday" forecasts; uncharted fiscal deficit levels; take-no-prisoners, show-no-mercy political infighting; and a "just because", with-or-without reason, regulatory environment...
It's clear we're all in for one "heck" of a national brawl !! Winner take all, tough luck to the losers.
It's most reassuring for credit unions in this bite-or-be-bitten, down-and-dirty dogfight to know our "DC-stakeholders" have got our back and are ready for the fight although ....
Labels:
Opinion
Wednesday, May 06, 2015
ABA Commenting About Duke Street..?
How NCUA examiners determine "Best Practices" ?? |
"No one wants to learn compliance the hard way - that is, no one wants to have their examiner tell them what they were supposed to have done."
"We all want to know the rules and criteria for an exam,
before it takes place, not after."
- Mr. Kell Kelly, Chairman
American Bankers' Association
Labels:
B-words
Tuesday, May 05, 2015
Spud-dering A-head...
Human intelligence - Winging it? |
Guess everyone has heard the saying that "the more you run over a dead cat the flatter it gets" (listen, listen it's just a form of speech, an idiom - you do not have to go out and verify it - OK!!). Ever wonder who comes up with thoughts like that?
Bizarre thinking has always held a strange fascination for me. "Unusual" ideas and thoughts, lodged out there somewhere between the absurd and the profound, are really quite abundant; you encounter them almost every day.
'Course there just may be an evolutionary explanation underlying our penchant for peculiar thinking....
Read recently that it has been confirmed that the common potato [spelled with an "e" if you're a Dan Quayle Republican] has more genes than a human being! That means the common potato has more genetic options than all of us (and more personality than a few of us.)
So, it's pretty clear to me that if Darwin was correct, we are all slowly evolving into spuds! Potatoes evidently are the "higher, "robust" order" to which we all now aspire!
Explains a lot of things when you think about it, doesn't it! Also gives a whole new range and depth of meaning to phrases such as "couch potato" and "I can't take my eyes off of you".
Guess with that future in mind, would like to take a moment to salute the "robust" senior leadership at NCUA, who whipped-up the deep-fried farce, the 2+ year mish-mash affectionately known among credit unions as RBC (russet-based capital). You're definitely...
Monday, May 04, 2015
Well, I Ain't Nobody's Problem But...
... and that's a good place to be,
when you're "rolling double boxcars"!
when you're "rolling double boxcars"!
Labels:
Zen
Sunday, May 03, 2015
Rants And Raves...
IN THEM THAR MOUNTAINS...
The Mitchell News-Journal ... worth the price of a subscription! |
* Life's karma got a way of coming back on you.
* People do not honor their ancestors that have passed on by attending decorations at cemeteries. We are lucky to get 12 people.
* Some folks will do anything for attention. They want attention bad. They're always throwing a stink.
But the #1 rant of the week...
Labels:
Zen
Saturday, May 02, 2015
Modern Day Banking....
Full faith and b-oink... |
AMERICA'S BANKS:
FULLY BACKED,
[AND OCCASIONALLY OWNED]
BY THE U.S. GOVERNMENT.
Labels:
B-words
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